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Published October 18, 2026 in Market Update

Some parts of Primary market are moving much faster than others

By Brandon Vaccaro
Real estate, Primary market

The biggest thing to know right now: speed varies a lot by ZIP. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted median days on market ranging from 58 days to 85 days across Primary market in the three months ending August 31, 2026. That 27-day gap changes what price and timeline make sense for you.

For context, the median U.S. home took 49 days to sell in the four weeks ending October 11, 2026, according to Redfin. Every ZIP in Primary market ran slower than that national figure. Knowing exactly where your ZIP sits matters more than the national number.

How fast is each ZIP moving?

Median days on market by ZIP, three months ending August 31, 2026
  1. 18501758 days
  2. 28501363 days
  3. 38501571 days
  4. 48501872 days
  5. 58501474 days
  6. 68501680 days
  7. 78501285 days
Real Estate Data Aggregator, three months ending August 31, 2026. Lower is faster.

85017 is the fastest ZIP in Primary market. The Real Estate Data Aggregator recorded a median of 58 days on market there. That is 27 days faster than 85012, the slowest ZIP at 85 days. Same market, very different experience.

Which homes are going under contract fast?

Speed within a ZIP also splits by how quickly buyers commit. The Real Estate Data Aggregator found that 28.9% of homes in 85017 went under contract within two weeks of listing in the three months ending August 31, 2026. That share is up 3.4 points from a year before. In 85012, only 9.1% did, down 7 points from a year before.

Share going under contract within two weeks, by ZIP
8501728.9%8501618.6%8501319.7%8501819.2%8501517.7%8501415.6%850129.1%
Real Estate Data Aggregator, three months ending August 31, 2026.
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

Nearly 3 in 10 homes in 85017 moved that fast. In 85012, fewer than 1 in 10 did. If you are pricing a home in 85012, that slower pace is worth building into your plan.

Prices are not all moving the same way either

Median sale price by ZIP, three months ending August 31, 2026
85018$1,207,50085016$550,00085012$532,50085014$485,50085013$485,00085015$367,30085017$324,000
Real Estate Data Aggregator, three months ending August 31, 2026.
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

85018 had a median sale price of $1,207,500, down 7.5% from a year before, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. 85012 rose 7.7% to $532,500. 85013 and 85014 both dipped, to $485,000 and $485,500. Not every ZIP moved the same direction.

Supply tells a similar split story

The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 4.1 months of supply in 85013, down 2.2 months from a year ago. That is the tightest supply in Primary market. 85012 had 7.3 months, up 1.8 months. More supply means buyers have more choices and sellers face more competition.

Months of supply by ZIP, three months ending August 31, 2026
85013
down 2.2 months year over year
85014
down 1.2 months year over year
85015
down 1.1 months year over year
85018
down 0.9 months year over year
85017
up 2.5 months year over year
85016
up 1.5 months year over year
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

What the wider market is doing

Nationally, sellers outnumber buyers. A source reported by Redfin on October 14, 2026 put the estimated number of U.S. home sellers in September at 1,510,784, the most since March 2020. Buyers numbered 928,892, the lowest since 2013. That national gap puts pressure on sellers to price carefully.

Freddie Mac put the average 30-year fixed rate at 7.40% as of October 15, 2026. That cost shapes what buyers can afford in every ZIP here. The National Association of Realtors reported existing-home prices up 1.3% in September 2026, a modest gain nationally.

National context, October 2026
30-year fixed rate (Freddie Mac, Oct 15)
as of October 15, 2026
U.S. median days on market (Redfin, Oct 11)
four weeks ending October 11, 2026
National home price gain (NAR, Sept 2026)
year over year, September 2026
Sources: Freddie Mac, read Oct 17, 2026; Redfin, Oct 15, 2026; National Association of Realtors, read Oct 17, 2026

The overall Primary market picture

Across all seven ZIPs together, the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 542 homes sold in the three months ending August 31, 2026, up 2.5% from a year before. There were 974 homes for sale, down 0.7%. Pending sales reached 587, up 1.2%. The market as a whole is moving, just not at the same pace in every ZIP.

Primary market combined, three months ending August 31, 2026
Homes sold
up 2.5% year over year
Homes for sale
down 0.7% year over year
New listings
up 3.7% year over year
Pending sales
up 1.2% year over year
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026
In short
  1. Primary market is not one market right now.
  2. It is seven ZIP codes with different speeds, prices and supply levels.
  3. A plan built on the wrong ZIP's numbers can cost you time or money.
  4. The three months ending August 31, 2026 make that clear.

One more honest note: even within a single ZIP, one street can read very differently from the ZIP-wide numbers. A block with more recent sales, a different mix of home sizes, or a busier road can shift your actual result. The ZIP is a starting point, not the whole answer.

Your next step

(602) 428-7200

Text me your address and I will send back how long homes like yours are taking to sell in your ZIP, against what actually closed in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Takes a day, costs nothing.

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Where these numbers came from